好莱坞的颁奖季已于2月9日在杜比剧院(Dolby Theatre)的奥斯卡颁奖典礼上结束。
专家预测,萨姆·门德斯(Sam Mendes)的《 1917年》(在不到两个月前首次向选民展示)可能会超越所有竞争对手。从一个预测模型到另一个预测模型,预测的准确性程度各不相同。
由独立统计顾问伊恩·帕尔多(Iain Pardoe)建立的模型已被证明是最准确的模型之一。帕多(Pardoe)使用三种基本模式,包括使用奥斯卡奖之前的奖项作为重要数据点,提名之间的相互关系以及主要演员和导演的过去提名。在1938年至2018年之间,伊恩·帕尔多(Iain Pardoe)的模型准确地预测了71%的奥斯卡获奖者。
本年度的奥斯卡金像奖包括1917年的最佳影片,山姆·门德斯(Sam Mendes)最佳导演,华金·菲尼克斯(Joaquin Phoenix)最佳男主角和雷妮·泽维格(RenéeZellweger)最佳女主角。
但是,学院在很多场合都带来了惊喜。例如,在2016年的奥斯卡颁奖典礼上,月光以2%的几率击败了La La Land的97%。 。
奥斯卡能否预言?
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Where parasite came out of syllabus ?
How about parasite winning the oscar ..
This prediction had gone wrong..
'science' you say lol
Joker and only joker
turns out you cant
Once again fantastic music
I love Korean movies paracite is superb love from india
George Lucas needs to get an Oscar. ..even if it's from another film body. He's work , is absolutely breathtaking….like Steven Spielberg and AR Rahman, and others
Jojo Rabbit for the win
Harvey Weinstein
Parasites will win
Dat Best Actor Pie Chart ???
This time many movies were great but parasite stood out, it's sad that 1917 will win best picture and director.
Your BGM selection is always awesome ?
you meant its by LOGIC
And 1st like
1sr view