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2020年20分钟20秒的奥斯卡预告片|金德比

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奥斯卡闪电回合！金牌德比编辑Marcus James Dixon和Daniel Montgomery在20分钟20秒内辩论了2020年的6项奥斯卡奖。谁会赢？

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关于金德比

金德比（Gold Derby）提供名人视频以及专家预测。谁将赢得奥斯卡，艾美奖，格莱美奖，托尼斯奖，金球奖奖以及顶级电视真人秀节目“美国偶像”，“配音”，“幸存者”，“惊人的种族”，“与星共舞”等等。 。

16 comments

  5. I'm super curious where Scarlett's two noms gets her. "I'm not gonna vote for Scarlett in this category, so I'm going to vote for her in this one," seems like a realistic point of thinking.
    But for now:
    Pic: Hollywood (1917 2nd)
    Actress: Zellweger (Johansson 2nd)
    Actor: Phoenix (Driver 2nd)
    Supp Actress: Dern (Johansson 2nd)
    Supp Actor: Pitt (Hanks 2nd)

  6. I’m thinking it might be too obvious that Mendes will get it -but they love those one take experiments so he very well might.
    This would be preposterous though because suddenly he’ll have 2 …
    while the great Scorsese has only 1!!
    (It’s ok-these guys are wrong-Irishman will be remembered as one of his best in years to come)
    I am going to predict an upset and say it will be Tarantino who will get his first for Directing!
    OUATIH is probably going to win Best Picture,though,so the Academy may feel this is enough.
    Next is Phoenix,Renee,Pitt and Laura Dern but the upset might be Scarjo since Renee Zelweger has one already.
    The other three are pretty solid I think.

  12. For Best Picture, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood is very likely to win Best Cast at SAG, and it could very well win PGA the night before as well. I think if it wins both, it could become unbeatable at the Oscars. 1917 probably gets Best Film at BAFTA. However, 1917, like Hollywood, is missing the editing nomination at the Oscars, but it's also completely invisible at SAG. The past two years show that missing a Best Cast nomination at SAG is not that bad anymore as long as your film shows up in individual acting categories for SAG nominations, which The Shape of Water and Green Book did. And Parasite needs a win at SAG or PGA to have any realistic chance of winning, because it hasn't won anything aside from Foreign Language Film prizes, and Bong Joon-Ho tied with Sam Mendes at the Critics Choice. I love The Irishman and Joker, but they're too divisive to actually win Best Picture. I think Jojo Rabbit is too divisive as well, and without the Directing nomination, it will need the PGA win on Saturday which I don't think it'll get. Marriage Story and Little Women are missing both Directing and Editing nominations, which no film has won Best Picture missing both. Finally, Ford v. Ferrari is a great movie and I'm happy it made it in, but without any Directing, Acting, or Writing nominations, it doesn't stand a chance. So Marcus and Daniel are correct in that it's a three way race between Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, 1917, and Parasite.

  13. I think Once Upon a Time is winning best pic. Traditionally, you have an acting win go along with best pic. Look at last year with Green Book when Mahershala won. Joker and Marriage Story will have acting wonderful too, but I don’t see either of those winning best pic. I could be wrong.

  16. Quentin Tarantino may have an "overdue narrative", but he was also never penalized for knowing about Harvey Weinstein's behavior for YEARS and never reporting it. He won't get many votes from female Academy members which is still 32%. I'm going with 1917 for Best Picture. And yes Marcus, the Academy has seen 1917. It's doing extremely well at the box office and the one-shot directorial style will continue to get people to see it. It's also a film you absolutely have to see on the big screen which may help it even further.

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