王辉耀:中美贸易战史无前例和'报警' |与半岛电视台交谈



2018年初,中美贸易战爆发,两国最终对彼此的进口商品征收数十亿美元的关税。

随着世界上两个最大经济体之间的紧张局势继续,分析人士警告说,这可能损害全球经济。

国际货币基金组织预测,到明年年初,中美贸易紧张局势将使全球GDP下降0.8%,导致全球经济增长放缓,2019年将达到3%。

中国与全球化中心的创始人兼总裁王辉耀同意贸易战对中国“肯定是一件大事”,称这种情况“史无前例”。

他说:“今年的中美关系恰好是建交40周年。”

“中国在很大程度上向美国敞开了大门,实际上,在过去的四十年中,美国有起伏,有起有落,但并不像我期望的那样令人惊讶。”

王说,关税并未对中国的业务造成太大的影响,反而可能损害了人们的信心。

“我认为不会对经济产生太大影响。可能会产生一些心理影响,人们可能会从进一步的大量投资中退出,或者可能会因此减少一些就业机会。但是基本上,我认为中国和美国美国正在寻求稳定,并希望达成互惠互利的协议。”

同时,王安认为贸易战的影响可能会超出两国的范围。

“关于中美贸易战的事情是,它削弱了信心,实际上使人们不愿投资,而且……价值链受到打击。因为中国处于全球价值链的中心。你知道,很多事情都要经过中国。”他说。

“因此,如果中国真的受到这场贸易战的打击,那么来自其他地区,来自其他国家的所有其他供应商将会 [be] 受影响的…因此,作为回报, [an] 对美国的影响也是如此。因此,我看不出世界经济将如何保持如此强劲的增长,然后才变得有效。”

他说,与美国达成协议至关重要,并指出最近的谈判是朝正确方向迈出的一步。

“特朗普和中国总统在上个月达成的这一部分协议绝对至关重要。因为如果我们不这样做,我的意思是世界上两个最大的经济大国,然后,如果它们真的在奋斗……其他所有国家将绝对地遭受苦难,然后,我们可能将世界拖入衰退中,这也是有可能的,我们可能还会发生另一场金融危机,因为这确实 [an] 令人震惊的情况。”
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38 comments
  1. Trump wants China to buy more from us. China has no problems with that. It needs more pork, soybeans and many farm products. But because of the prolonged trade war, many other countries have increased their exports at competitive prices. Now US has to compete with them for the market shares. China becomes a buyer market. To ease domestic consumer demand China can even remove farm product tariffs altogether. This can be a win for Trump and a win for China.

  2. January 2020 15
    Trump will sign
    The death certificates of America
    It is very sad the strongest country in the world to be died by single man signature

  3. Communism is the solution
    do not give people worthless money ,give them what they need
    What is the problem in the United States?
    In United States a lot of people they cannot buy what they need…why?
    Because they don’t have enough money, the prices are higher than their income
    How we solve the problem
    Tow solution
    1/ the trivial solution give people money so they can buy what they need…but prices not controlled by the government it is controlled by the market
    2/the right solution give people what they need at lower prices…..this against capitalism
    ——-
    Before America government buy what people produce in exchange of printed money, then America government throws these products in the ocean
    This America government decided instead of printing money, bringing money from china it to low income people
    After signing the deal immediately prices will go higher and higher, because it will be expected that many people their income will be increased
    Trump will sign the death certificates of America
    The end of civilization

  4. Trump deal with china and the end of the world
    The greatest country in the earth will be ended by one man signature
    Trump he will sign the deal of the collapse of America

  5. The USA was never able to break from its primitive past. The major cultural events, the civil war, the wild west, WW2, and Christianity still drive their ambitions. The Vietnam war drained the cultural momentum of ww2, but western movies were substituted.
    The USA is living in the past and using their credit card to pay for the fantasy world.
    China broke from the past, but it took 50 years of brutal communism to do that.

  6. How rest of the world can believe a dictatorship type regime sayings. Chinese not only setting trade barrier but also highly control its domestic market, which they signed and promised when they enter the WTO?

  7. Chinese needs is to keep working hard and fast, sooner or later, nobody should question China affairs !!! Weaponised the nuke for peace !

  8. Great Proletarian Cultural Revolution, was a sociopolitical movement in the People's Republic of China from 1966 until 1976. Launched by Mao Zedong, then Chairman of the Communist Party of China, its stated goal was to preserve Chinese Communism by purging remnants of capitalist and TRADITIONAL elements from Chinese society. So how is a 5,000 year old society relevant today?

  9. Surprise surprise! The guy from China denies that China is a currency manipulator since of course China would ADMIT TO currency manipulation!

  10. Oh yeah internationalize the uighur camp and human organ harvesting ok China! I don't think any Hong konger would want to cross the border and go to China!

  11. Trump's showing off and wishful-thinking-out-loud about the trade war.
    He still doesn't understand about the complexities of world trade. He still says that China is paying for the tariffs on Chinese goods coming into the US. He still thinks that a trade deficit is what China steals from the US each year.
    You can't help a person like that when he's too stupid.

  12. Compared to 20-30 years ago, the living standard and overall infrastructure of China have improved tremendously. Most Chinese people are proud of the achievement of their Government. This is a relatively safe country to live in.

  13. The general public is too naive to believe Trump. If the trade deficit is not with China it will be another country. All these bs about national security threat for china tech giants is to suppress china so they don't surpass USA which is happening regardless. This is exactly what they did to Japan in the 80s. The national debt is going up faster than ever under Trump. Recession is on it's way and will hit harder than ever. God bless America.

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