@Google Talks很荣幸地欢迎心理学英雄Daniel Kahneman。
丹尼尔·卡尼曼(Daniel Kahneman)因其在心理学领域的开创性工作而对诺贝尔经济学奖获得者,该挑战性挑战了决策和决策的理性模型,是我们最重要的思想家之一。他的思想对包括经济学,医学和政治学在内的许多领域都产生了深刻而广泛的影响,但是直到现在,他还从未将自己多年的研究和思想集中到一本书中。
在备受期待的快速与慢速思维中,卡尼曼带我们进行了开创性的思维之旅,并解释了驱动我们思维方式的两种系统。系统1快速,直观,情感丰富;系统2更慢,更仔细,更逻辑。卡尼曼(Kahneman)展现了快速思考的非凡能力以及缺点和偏见,并揭示了直观印象对我们的思想和行为的普遍影响。损失规避和过度自信对公司战略的影响,难以预测未来将使我们感到高兴的困难,在工作和家庭中适当地构架风险的挑战,认知偏见对从玩股票到交易的一切的深远影响计划下一个假期-只有了解这两个系统如何共同影响我们的判断和决策,才能理解其中的每一个。
卡尼曼与读者就我们的思维进行了生动的对话,揭示了我们在什么地方可以相信和不能相信自己的直觉,以及如何利用缓慢思考的好处。他对如何在我们的业务和个人生活中做出选择,以及我们如何使用不同的技术来防止经常使我们陷入困境的心理故障提供实用而启发性的见解。快速,慢速思考将改变您思考的方式。 。
How to trigger system 2? How does even we can recognize that it is system 2.
People at Google are very much interested in emulating language expertise and deducing it from a large corpus of speech. But as Kahneman points out, expertise is possible when there are regularities. And some of the most significant messeges that people exchange tend to be the most irregular in substance and in form. Like secrets, jokes, metaphors, poetry, euphemisms, interjections. They need System 2, working in concert with System 1. As a result, AI will give precedence, then promote, then impose that, which is irrelevant to humans.
期待下一个Kahneman能解决分清不只是系统一和系统二,系统五或系统六都能弄明白那就厉害哩!
It seems real!
Is it safe to assume the uber religious operate on system 1. To believe in some fantasy sky daddy after it was hammered into many of us by our parents for many years… I hear uber religious and many middle of the road religious speaking about a god as if they speak to him or her on a daily. They are just so convinced of these fanciful tales and assert the ideas to others in an aggressive and then dismissive manner.
question round was really poor
Wow! Worth spending an hour here.
This is great.
There may not be TWO SYSTEMS in the Brain, but there is a PrimeBrain for Action/Reaction and a more RationalBrain for "Thinking"/
They are NOT CONNECTED. Ergo… Hint…Hint.
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL1n30s-LKus4wKy6tSVR4LjHIGrwkWC1u
I was watching Seinfeld before this, and he looks like Larry David.
what a load of nonsense
I am watching this on my phone and grateful for the free lecture while I saw some guy on his phone during the lecture WTF
When asked if System 2 depends more on cortical centers while System 1 is in subcortical centers, I saw a glimpse of evolution. It would seem that lacking language System 2 would have no space to act, hence System 1 should be more developed than System 1, in the metaphorical sense that Kahneman uses "Systems."
Great lecturer and great audience questions. I might have to take my notebook out and watch this again!
The questions are very depressing
8:16 think he says "agency" not "urgency"
I’ve read his book 5 times and still enjoyed how he broke down big concepts into small pieces of information that anybody with enough enthusiaism will grasp. This book opened my eyes to how we think and how we make judgemental errors. Definiately recommend reading it.
9:14 another function of system 2 is to not function when needed to
One of the few modern books worth reading.
thanks for this, fascinated by this material
This is just an introduction his book.
"It's not a case of: 'Read this book and then you'll think differently. I've written this book, and I don't think differently."
– Daniel Kahneman
My favorite quote of his that encapsulates perfectly what he is saying.
The real bias, is the bias against 'biases'. In real time, these biases/heuristics lead directly and indirectly into new insights. For example, with confirmation bias, it helps serve as empirical evidence towards what we believe . For example, with confirmation bias if "we tend to confirm information we believe" through multiple lines of information, in a certain situation, then there is probably something factual about what we believe, and we know its safe to spend more time on rigorously justifying/proving it. Where as linear thinkers tend to miss on the opportunity. That is a tenant of EMPIRICISM – NOT A BIAS. There is a difference between using a bias to make a quick and impulsive decision in a trivial situation, for which there is little at stake, and using a sense of our biases (in harmony with rationality) towards solving critical problems. In effect, these anti-bias proponents are merely talented straw-man engineers; mostly achievement < IQ types and graying anglophiles who indulge in a deluded sense of intellectual worth.
28:09 this is insightful ! 🙂 !
If you're interested in Kahneman's work, my latest video uses systems 1 and 2 and substitution to look at why the UK is so divided over Brexit
My God this guy can waffle on and on, this could be a 10 minute talk.
'There is a real demand for overconfidence' – how true! Timeless content here, great to see this available.